Sydney’s housing market crash quickens – MacroBusiness

By Unconventional Economist in Australian Property
at 10:40 am on June 20, 2022 | 4 comments
The weekend’s auction results were another shocker for Sydney, with the city’s preliminary clearance rate plunging to only 55.4% – the worst result in more than two years:
Sydney’s poor result off strong volumes helped sink the nation’s preliminary auction clearance rate to 57.8% – the lowest preliminary result since August 2021.
According to CoreLogic regarding Sydney:
Of the 624 results collected so far, 55.4 per cent were successful, the lowest preliminary clearance rate the city has seen since April 2020. The previous week recorded a preliminary clearance rate of 58.1 per cent, which revised down to 54.3 per cent at final figures. Once the remaining results are collected, Sydney’s final clearance rate may slip into the 40 per cent range, although it’s likely to just manage to hold above 50.0 per cent.
These auction results auger badly for Sydney house prices given the strong historical correlation between clearance rates and house price growth:
Auction clearances point straight down for Sydney prices.
Sydney dwelling values are already plummeting, with value declines steepening since early May when the Reserve Bank began hiking interest rates:
Sydney dwelling values are falling fast.
The quarterly rate of price decline has hit 2% in Sydney, which will surely accelerate from here.
Sydney could be staring at double-digit price value in 2022, with more to come in 2023 if the Reserve Bank continues hiking rates aggressively.
The June quarter ANZ/Property Council Survey has
In a report titled ‘Housing for All’, Anglicare
The Reserve Bank of Australia released its latest
This week, CoreLogic released data showing that
55% is actually very impressive considering most people expect the RBA to be ramming through more interest rate rises over the next 6 months.
Must be a lot of folks desperate to get a foot on the ladder to wealth and a bunch of investors happy to get out only a little below the peak.
37% of auction results are unreported. It was closer to 5% unreported mid last year.
I expect SQM to announce a more realistic clearance rate closer to 40%.
So 40% up is OK, barely a word spoken about it.
Starts dropping by F All and everyone squealing like little spoilt brats.
– It all depends what happens with interest rates (as set by a force called “Mr. Market”).
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